Discussion Board 4 2

Serendipity Discovery

      Chocolate Chip cookies Ruth Wakfield was making chocolate drops and ran out of chocolate for thee drops. Instead of making more or fining more she decided to chop up a candy bar and add the candy bar to the mix. Once she did and backed them in the ovine and usually. She discovered she has stumbled upon something new and exciting. We all think so too, thank you Ruth Wakfield truly an act of Serendipity

Error Discovery

      Potato Chips we discovered completely by error.  George Crum was making a plate of fried potato. This was actually an act of an aggravated chef. One customer complained about his fried potatoes and wants them to be fried more and more. George Crum became very aggravated and made a completely new plate where he sliced the potatoes extremely think and then fried them to an extremely hard potato and served them to the customer. Welcome to the world, potato chips.

Exaptation

     Columbus discovered the new word. Columbus discovered America by tiring to prove a point. As we all know Columbus sailed the ocean to prove that sailors would not fall off the face of the earth. Later to discover the fact we don’t fall off the earth is because of a scientific force known as gravity. Columbus was set out to sail the ocean and return on the other side of the content to prove the fact the earth was round and we would eventually return where we started. Instead of returning to his current landmass he discovered another land mass.

Potato Chips we discovered completely by error. George Crum was making a plate of fried potato. One customer complained about his fried potatoes and wants them to be fried more and more. George Crum became very aggravated and made a completely new plate where he sliced the potatoes extremely think and then fried them to an extremely hard potato and served them to the customer.

       This research is very interesting I always learn new things when completing this research. Most of the time we do not take the time to think of how things were invented. I believe we all take things for granted. We think these things have always been there. We do not usually take the time to think that there was a time when these things did not exist. I have always thought if time travel were possible we could go back in time and be very smart people, as long as what we encountered and changed did not affect the future today.

Discussion 4

Education:

·      Learn to play the piano

·      Learn Mandarin

·      Learn to speak better Spanish

·      Learn Italian

·      Learn to Scuba Dive

·      Learn to fly a helicopter

·      Learn to Flip houses

·      Learn to Drive a boat

·      Learn to Drive a Bus

·      Learn to

Job or Research

·      I would open a used Mac Store and train people to run it.

·      I would open an Apple Store and train and higher people to run it.

·      I would open a PC Repair and used sales store and higher people to run it.

·      I would open a HP, ASUS, and IBM new computer sales shop and higher people to run it.

·      I would have a home rental company in Florida and higher people to run it.

·      I would have a home rental company in Hawaii and higher people to run it.

·      I would have a home rental company in Colorado and higher people to run it.

·      I would have a software development firm where people from all over the world will build and sell applications to people and make customer software for businesses.

·      I would have a large computer-networking firm that would service and secure large businesses.

·      I would setup a hosting firm this company would have buildings and buildings of servers. The goal would be to be bigger and more known than go daddy.

Philosophical or Religious

·      I would live care free and happy

·      I would connect with friends who have the same feeling for a care free and happy life

·      I would surround myself with these people.

·      We would meet at least twice a week and have activities together.

·      In this group we would not talk about politics

·      We would not talk about violence in the world

·      We would strive for a positive look on life

·      We would not compare ourselves to each other

·      We would take each other as we are and live freely.

Travel

·      I would like to travel to Paris

·      I would constantly travel to Hawaii

·      I would constantly travel to Florida

·      I would constantly travel to Colorado

·      I would travel to France

·      I would travel to Cuba

·      I would travel to Mexico

·      I would travel to California

·      I would travel to Utah

·      I would like to purchase a camper and travel around the world and see all the attractions like Niagara Falls.

Home

·      I would have a house on a piece of land away from everyone and surrounded by trees.

·      This house would be a smart house.

·      This house would learn your behaviors and adjust accordingly.

·      The house would unlock if you come close to the front door

·      The house would lock if you leave and set an alarm if you learn a get in your car.

·      Everything would either be voice activated or motion censored.

·      The alarm clock would raise your bed and dump you out.

·      There would be a shower machine.

·      There will be a dressing machine.

·      Robot maides to clean the house

·      Large Swimming pool and Running Track.

This says that I will remain a business owner but I plan to let the money work for me. I will have the Idea and the vision. Someone else can handle the overall operations while I live my life and do the things I want to do in my life and not have to worry about day-to-day operations of a business or day-to-day operations of a normal job. Regardless of how much money I have I will find a way for that money to make more money. The best way to do that is to have businesses in places I like to visit often. Then there is always a reason to travel. I love to travel.

IP 3

I am not sure what you mean by company or an industry did not do proper scenario-type planning. I have found a case study on Imagine – Scenario development for environmental impact assessment studies. I will describe this and answer your question based on this text.

 

How does scenario-type planning support planning and innovation for change?

       The main part of planning and innovation change is evaluating possible future events. Scenario planning is just that one will use resources to evaluate and try to predict the future through the consideration of alternative possible. This means this type of analysis is the ability to compare and contrast the not equally likely situations. This analysis will direct the decision-making and assessment by preceding the possible outcomes and then comparing them. Usually there is an Integrated-modeling framework. This is used to deterring the driving force for the future. What is the most important?

What forces are involved, and what impacts do they make?

  The weather is a force in this company. If the weather is bad the company cannot work and meet deadlines. This is a large force to be thought of for future planning and forecasting. This force of ethnicity all the future goals must be reachable by all involved this means the outcomes must be obtainable by the employees involved.  The company policy is a driving force to make sure the evaluation and the overall outcome falls in line with the company policies.

· how will you use scenario planning for future innovation efforts?

       Scenario planning is a way to diagram and discuss live events and models that help make a good decision for future events. I will use this model in my group projects and in my research this will help me understand and diagram all the factors and variables involved that created my decision at that time. This best think I think about scenario planning is the decision may change in the future because the dictions is made on driving factor and forces these factors and faces can change depending on when you preform the research. This means a completely different outcome can be achieved if the factors and forces change.

Does the scenario plan account for the social impact of change?

   I believe the social impact will have an impact on the change because most of our forces are social forces that will drive the company and the factors that can change this outcome can be very social meaning they can change from group to group and form region to region. Scenario planning accounts for this change by eliminating and narrowing down the driving force. Usually after this process is narrow the forces are clear for almost every area of the business.

       This best think I think about scenario planning is the decision may change in the future because the dictions is made on driving factor and forces these factors and faces can change depending on when you preform the research. Does the scenario plan account for the social impact of change? I believe the social impact will have an impact on the change because most of our forces are social forces that will drive the company and the factors that can change this outcome can be very social meaning they can change from group to group and form region to region. How does scenario-type planning support planning and innovation for change? The main part of planning and innovation change is evaluating possible future events.  how will you use scenario planning for future innovation efforts? Scenario planning is a way to diagram and discuss live events and models that help make a good decision for future events.

Reference

Wagener, T. (2008, November 12). Imagine – Scenario Development for Environmental Impact Assessment Studies. Retrieved November 15, 2015, from http://www.iemss.org/iemss2006/papers/w11/pp.pdf

Unit 3 Discussion Board 2

Author C. Clarke predicted the ipad and online newspapers in 1968. Author C, Clark collaborated on a film call A Space Odyssey. In this film the astronauts are reading a newspaper on something that resembles the ipad today.  If that is not enough to credit Author C. Clarke for predicting the ipad and online newspapers, The name Author gave the device seals the deal. Author stated he would have to plug in his Neswspad in to the ships circuit to retrieve the latest product reports.  Author would find the newspaper from earth send it to his newpad and then zoom to a confortable reading size. When finished he could move from that newspaper to another newspaper in a flash. Author’s predictions were so close when Apple Samsung sewed Samsung for patent use this prediction to show where apple may have infringement as well. This case is still pending in US courts.

One Force that impact is success would b e the social aspect of faster reliable communication. The search for more information faster, Most people would read the newspaper to understand what is happening in their area and around the world, The faster people could retrieve this information the more popular this device would be. A faster and more reliable means of communication is a constant search in society this invention helped speed up reliable communication.

Another Force would be globalizing a way of communication. With a device like this the world can communicate in minutes. This would make the flow of information faster and less expensive. Without this device the only way to communicate to someone overseas would be to use the phone and call a long distance number this call would cost by the minute and can become very costly. This device solved this problem for the modern citizen.

The search for more information faster, Most people would read the newspaper to understand what is happening in their area and around the world, The faster people could retrieve this information the more popular this device would be. Clarke for predicting the ipad and online newspapers, The name Author gave the device seals the deal. Author would find the newspaper from earth send it to his newpad and then zoom to a confortable reading size.

Floorwalker, M. (2013, March 15). Arthur C. Clarke. Retrieved November 4, 2015, from http://listverse.com/2013/03/15/10-ridiculously-specific-predictions-that-came-true/

Unit 3 - Discussion Board

Scenario Planning

In scenario planning one would first create a list of driving forces that will affect the outcome of the planned innovation. Driving forces or one could refer to them as trends. These forces use the PEST model this model means driving forces will be that of Political forces, Economical forces, Sociological forces, and Technology trends. One would create this list of forces.

Then one would narrow this list by categorizing the list by the salutation the force will affect. Then decide what are the driving forces. Then develop a new list with only the driving forces. The goal will be to narrow the list down to two driving forces.

In scenario planning you then find the critical uncertainties from the list of driving forces. The critical uncertainties are forces that cannot be controlled but have a very high impact on the overall outcome. This would be a force comparable to weather. Weather cannot be controlled, but will have a high impact on outside activities.

Then create a model by using the critical uncertainties and figuring out the positive impact and the negative impact or the changing outcome or the outcome as desired. For example with weather if the then it outdoor and it is raining the event is moved or canceled where if the weather is sunny the weather has little or no impact on the event.

The next step is to create a model in the form of a + sign. Then write on one side the most impact this force will have and on the other side write the least impact this force will have. This will contrast to this or that statements. The information write on each side become 4 scenarios to research and think about.

Then determining what are the key issues faced in the 4 scenarios created form the model. How do we use this and work with this. Then identify the risks of each scenarios. One will also have to think of when do we need to respond to these scenarios. Then focus on innovation focus could the scenarios offer opportunities. How long would it take to innovate from these scenarios and is it worth while to peruse.

Traditional Forecasting

looking to improve a product for the future based on the current implementation. One would think in the future what would be the demand for this product. Will this product have a different demand, if so how can we improve the product to meet the demand (if possible). Then brain storm, create a list of factors and how long it will take to make the changes need.

Frum, R. (2013, August 6). Word association of newspapers scenario planning. Retrieved from the Personal Expert System Web site: http://personalexpertsystem.blogspot.com/2013/08/world-association-of-newspapers.html

Globis.jp. (2014, September 3). Woody Wade: "Scenario planning" - Thinking differently about future innovation. Retrieved from http://e.globis.jp/article/000363.html